Notes on the Front

Commentary on Irish Political Economy by Michael Taft, researcher for SIPTU

Welcome to the New Poverty – Insolvency Poverty

Today the new insolvency service goes live.  Today is the beginning of a new kind of
poverty – insolvency poverty.

Our rulers, giving deep consideration to the problems posed
by household debt, have designed a solution. 
Does it write down the debt caused by the financial institutions?  Well, er, not exactly.  The solution requires that men, women and
children undergo poverty-line existence for up to six years – and to do so
publicly by having their names published on a register.  Included in this regime is the creation of a new
professional class – Personal Insolvency Professionals – who will assist people
to navigate their poverty experience and in many (most) cases will get an
upfront payment.  Insolvency poverty and
insolvency poverty professionals -you really couldn’t make this stuff up.  But they did.

When people apply for debt relief their living standards
will be based on the
Insolvency Agency’s ‘reasonable living expenses’
.   According
to the Insolvency website, reasonable living expenses are defined as:

‘. . .  the expenses a person necessarily incurs in
achieving a reasonable standard of living, this being one which meets a
person’s physical, psychological and social needs.’

The
insolvency regime sets down a schedule of such expenses:  food, clothing, household goods, utilities,
personal care. It will be for the creditors to approve the reasonable
living expenses regime applied:

‘ . . . the
decision on the reasonableness or otherwise of living expenses will be a matter
for the creditors to determine on a case-by-case basis . . .’

Imagine the scene: 
creditors sitting around a conference table in a corner office
overlooking the Liffey, ticking off all the expense boxes for John and Mary,
discussing whether this item or that constitutes ‘reasonable’. 

But the Insolvency Service is anxious to prove that their
expenses regime is ‘reasonable’.  They claim
that their numbers are based on the model developed by the Vincentian Partnership for Social Justice.  The VPSJ has done tremendous work in
ascertaining the minimum level of expenditure that constitutes a living
standard that no one should have to live below. 

There are two points here. 
First, the VPSJ’s minimum standard is a campaign tool to level-up – to
raise people’s living standards up to a minimum standard.  Far too many people live below this minimum
living standard.  The Insolvency Service
is using this minimum standard to level-down.

Second, while the Insolvency regime claims their ‘reasonable
living standards’ is rooted in the VPSJ estimates, they add this rider:

‘The
Insolvency Service has decided to use a model (“ISI model”) which is a modified
version of the consensual budget standards model originally developed by the
Vincentian Partnership for Social Justice.’

How
modified? Let’s look at a simple example of a single adult comparing the
Insolvency Agency’s reasonable living expenses and the VPSJ’s minimum standard.  The Insolvency Agency uses two indices – one with
car needed and one with no car needed. 
The VPSJ doesn’t make this distinction. 
Rather, it uses urban and rural. 
However, the Insolvency Agency makes it clear that for the most part, a
household in an urban area doesn’t need a car. 
So the two different measurements are similar in this respect.  Let’s see how they compare.

Insolvency 1

The
Insolvency Agency’s Reasonable Living Expenses is 15 and 24 percent below the
VPSJ’s minimum standard in urban and rural areas respectively. 

Let’s look
at two examples which the Insolvency Agency highlights.  The first is for a single adult household
with two children, aged 3 and 10.

Insolvency 2

In this
example – a single parent with two children – we find the Insolvency Agency’s
Reasonable Living Expenses are between 16 and 25 percent below the VPSJ’s
minimum living standard in the urban and rural areas respectively.

The second illustration
is that for a couple with four children – aged 3, 5, 10 and 14.

Insolvency 3

For a couple
with four children we find the Insolvency Agency’s Reasonable Living Expenses
are between 27 and 37 percent below the VPSJ’s minimum living standard in the
urban and rural areas respectively.

There is a
trend in these three examples:  rural
households and households with children are particularly discriminated against
under the Insolvency Agency’s reasonable living expenses.  Of course, there are just the guidelines –
but, as noted above, it will be left to the creditors to allow any
flexibility.  The Insolvency Service notes:

‘Reasonable
living standards may be higher than these guidelines propose where acceptable
to creditors. This may occur where creditors can see value for themselves in
incentivising the debtor.’

So it may
not be so bad; but note that it is whether the creditors see a value for
themselves – not for the householder, not for the wider community.

Whatever flexibility
is applied, households will struggle to achieve a minimum living standard as defined
by the VPSJ.  This will create a
poverty-line existence for those households who participate in this scheme – an
existence that can last up to six years, that will be made public and which
will not necessarily erase all debts on the other side (we discovered recently
that banks could still make claims after the six year period).

This is
nothing but the playing out at household level what was experiencd in the
general banking debt crisis.  Creditors were
repaid and private debts were put on the public books.  Now, we have private debts being repaid and
the burden placed on the households. 

Irish people
has been hit by three damaging consequences: 
first, the banking crisis tanked the economy which costs jobs and
incomes; second, private debt was put on public books which justified austerity
policies which destroyed even more jobs and incomes; and now, third, households
have to undergo up to six years of public poverty-line existence with no
guarantee that banks will wipe out the debt at the end of the period.

And with the
debate focused on the details of the insolvency arrangements (important details
to be sure), we are in danger of forgetting to ask the more fundamental question:  is the best we can do to relieve households
and the economy from a debt crisis that originated in the private financial
sector? 

5 responses to “Welcome to the New Poverty – Insolvency Poverty”

  1. CMK Avatar

    Looking at last week’s Central Bank figures for mortgage arrears total arrears stand at a little over 2bn. If we accept, for the sake of argument, that the total cost of the bank bailout was 64bn, then for 3.1% of that cost we could clear all mortgage arrears. That crisis could be gone; in a flash. For about 20% of the cost of the bank bailout you could not only wipe out the arrears but you could write down everyone’s mortgage by 10%. At a stroke probably wiping out a significant chuck of negative equity. For the cost of bailing out Anglo alone you could wipe out mortgage arrears and write down all mortgages by 25%. Imagine what that would do to consumer spending, consumer sentiment, confidence in the economy etc, etc.
    Instead we get this loathsome insolvency regime which is basically a 21st century workhouse and it will require the same mental attitudes that sustained the 19th/20th century workhouses, to keep this one going. Lots of opprobrium for debtors but none for the creditors.
    Yet again we’re reminded that the banks ARE the state here; everything is structured for their benefit. With mortgage arrears increasing quarter on quarter we’ll probably see more people pushed into this disgusting scheme. Why don’t the government go the whole hog and mandate the wearing of orange jumpsuits for those bound to this insolvency regime?

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  2. Jason Loughrey Avatar
    Jason Loughrey

    It looks like the minimum thresholds of the insolvency agency are set in a manner that could only attract those people in the worst situations. If you take the household budget survey as a guide, the minimum standards of the insolvency agency look like expenditure amounts that are below the median or average for households with income in the bottom two deciles of the income distribution. They look similar to the average income of households with incomes in the bottom two deciles. The average household with incomes in the bottom two deciles typically has a negative savings rate perhaps reflecting in some cases the transitory nature of short-term income poverty and other factors. This contrasts with the VPSJ numbers which would allow for a living standard (total expenditure) just below that of the middle income household.
    One of the most worrying points from the above is that the gap between the standards for the single person household with no children and the single person with two children is only approximately €300 to €350 per month or €150-€175 per month for each child. In the case of both the VPSJ and the agency, the ratio of the income standard for the single person household (with two children) to that of the single person household is 1.3. This implies an equivalence scale of 0.15 for each child which is half that of the modified OECD standard which gives a value of 0.3 for each child. The minimum amount provided by the agency for each child in rural areas is approximately 25% below that of the VPSJ. Is there not an ethical issue about subjecting children to the minimum standard? Why not at the very least allow for the average standard in the case of children.

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  3. Ciaran Avatar

    Michael,
    Don’t you realise that contractual obligations are only for the little people?
    I agree with CMK above, with particular regard to the moralising tone adopted when it comes to people struggling with mortgages, as though they should have had the foresight to predict the occurrence of the worst property crash in this part of the world in 80 or so years. Does anyone ever stop to think that the institutions lending money should have had cognisance of the inherent risk in issuing loans in the first place? That is why they get to charge interest, after all.
    I would recommend ‘Debt: The First 5,000 Years’, by David Graeber, which book provides a good, potted history of the origins of credit, currency and barter (which came about in that order), as well as the evolution of debt repayment as an unassailable moral obligation.

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  4. Kieran Sullivan Avatar
    Kieran Sullivan

    Lads, lads, lads, don’t worry. The people who matter will be fine, no matter their circumstances:
    http://www.broadsheet.ie/2013/09/10/a-solicitor-should-have-a-house-that-accords-with-his-status-in-society/
    Nice, honest quote:
    “In practice, the PIP will also have to assess the type of house that might be needed for a professional person such as a solicitor, accountant or a hospital consultant as opposed to a house that’s needed by someone who is in the PAYE sector for example, so that, as a PIP, I would be making a very strong case, for example, that a solicitor should have a bigger house that accords with his professional status in society so that his neighbours and clients can see that, yes, this person is a good solicitor who’s is living in a good house etc. etc.”

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  5. Johnny Ace Avatar
    Johnny Ace

    The basic calculations are wrong and undermine these findings. The VPSJ figures include Child Benefit. The ISI figures do not. In reality there isn’t the gap claimed here.

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Commentary on Irish Political Economy by Michael Taft, researcher for SIPTU