Notes on the Front

Commentary on Irish Political Economy by Michael Taft, researcher for SIPTU

Feasting on Innards

Cannibal_4 Policy makers really have a problem. They know that Ireland is a high-cost country but they seem to be unable or unwilling to figure out why. Forfas surveys all manner of cost inputs – energy, property, labour, insurance, etc. – but while they uncover some valuable information, they still can’t seem to connect all the high-cost dots into a coherent picture. I have a small answer. It is not the whole answer but it can help complete the picture and, just as importantly, it can help us see what is not the problem. And that answer is this: entrepreneurial cannibals – a species of businessmen and women who make a lot of money by cannibalizing other businesses, driving up enterprise costs and making our economy uncompetitive.

These entrepreneurial cannibals – they’re literally eating us alive.

Forfas has stated that a major cost factor in Irish business is the high price of many of the services they purchase:

‘Prices and costs in non-traded sectors quickly feed into the cost base of internationally trading firms who purchase goods and services in the local economy. Examples include labour services frequently purchased by trading sectors, such as accountancy, IT and legal services, where figures show Ireland – and Dublin in particular – to be very expensive.’

Indeed, the Business Service sector itself is considered quite costly compared to other countries. This is an important sector because its major client base is other businesses. This sector consists of:

  • Computer management services/consultancy
  • Legal, accounting, tax and market research services
  • Advertising, recruitment and architectural services
  • R&D and testing
  • Security and industrial cleaning

This is in addition to a number of other miscellaneous services. So the Business Service sector is a good test case – to find out if entrepreneurial cannibals actually do exist.

One of the reasons put forward for high costs is lack of competition. This is the Competition Authority’s very first article of faith: the more ‘competitors’ you have, the better off you are. One indicator of competition is the number of enterprises. It’s not prime facie evidence – they could all be participating in collusion or there could be state price controls (as in the electricity sector) – but we are informed by the high priests of competition that, all things being equal, the more competitors you have, the more competition there will be, resulting in lower prices.

Cannibals_1So could this be an explanation for high costs in Business Services – not enough ‘competing enterprises’? Probably not. The CSO’s Annual Services Inquiry tells us that over 37% of all non-financial service enterprises in the state operate within this sector. And it is growing. Indeed, this sector accounted for the entire increase in enterprise start-ups … and then some. There’s a lot of IT consultancy, legal, accountancy, marketing, PR and advertising firms setting up shops everywhere (in the three year period the number of Business Service enterprises increased by over 36%). This doesn’t suggest a ‘lack of competition’.

We can’t blame wages either. Even the National Competitiveness Council admitted that wages are by and large ‘competitive’. In any event, we know from a number of databases – such as the OECD – that Ireland is a relatively low-waged country. So what’s making this sector so expensive?

Cannibals_2Cannibals. Entrepreneurial cannibals – feasting on our economic innards.

Again, according to the CSO data, profits have increased at over four times the rate of wages. This is quite an entrepreneurial accomplishment in what are essentially labour-intensive sectors. Is this normal? Is this what we might expect of Business Service enterprises throughout Europe?

Fortunately, we have an international measurement in the form of the EU KLEMS database – which charts the inputs and value-added in various economic sectors among all EU-15 countries. What is the norm for this sector?

Cannibals_3_2My, oh my. It seems our native bourgeoisie take a lot more profit than their counterparts in the EU. The KLEMS database can’t be directly compared to the CSO figures, primarily because the former excludes self-employed income while this is included in the latter. But what it can do is compare across borders.

It’s also worth noting that between 2002 and 2005, while Irish entrepreneurs were raking in even more dosh, profits per employee were actually falling slightly in the rest of the EU-15.

We are constantly being lectured to – about wage increases feeding into the cost base, which in turns make our products and services more expensive, which in turns reduces our competitiveness. But what is never mentioned is how profit levels also do the same thing. We hear of ‘wage competitiveness’ but never ‘profit competitiveness’.

This shouldn’t come as too much as a surprise. The formative experience of native business in post-independence Ireland was one of protectionism, cartels and short-termism. This phase lasted 30 years (and in some sectors still exists). We may operate in a more open, market-orientated environment today but attitudes die hard. This has created an incompetent native management culture which only manages to contribute about 10% of total manufacturing and service exports.

Let’s try a calculation. Though I’m going to mix some apples and oranges (KLEMS and CSO) let’s calculate the impact on prices were Irish entrepreneurs to make the same profit per employee as Germans (I wouldn’t dare suggest our native business men and women live on the EU-15 average). What would happen? Price levels in the Business Service Sector would fall by 8.3%.

An 8.3% decrease in prices. What a boon this would be to our internationally traded services sector, to our inflation rate, to our competitiveness. Almost overnight we would experience a significant reduction in our costs base – benefiting households and enterprises throughout the economy. And our entrepreneurs in the Business Service sector would still be making above average profit levels.

And if you applied that to all the other sectors – Wholesale/Retail, Transport & Communication, the Hospitality Sector, Personal Services, Financial Services – the effect on the economy would be transformative. If only our entrepreneurs weren’t so damned gluttonous to the point that they are ruining our ability to generate wealth.

I’m not suggesting that this is the exact number or the exact comparison. You would have to take into account economies of scale, etc. to get an exact fit. But what I am suggesting is that this is a fruitful ground for Forfas and the Department of Enterprise to explore. They’ve tried to examine almost every other comparison – why not this?

And while we’re at it – here are a few more high business-cost areas for our policy makers to study:

  • The effect of property speculation on commercial rents
  • The effect of privatisation on our telecommunications infrastructure
  • The effect of state price controls and investment embargoes in the energy sector

I appreciate that this might embarrass the Government, since it was their policies that had such an influential and devastating impact on these competitiveness areas. But to paraphrase the Roman dictum:

‘Let economic justice be done though Fianna Fail fall.’

Meanwhile, pass the salt.

15 responses to “Feasting on Innards”

  1. Hugh Green Avatar

    The effect of property speculation on commercial rents

    Mick,
    I know from my own experience that the rental price of commercial property is one of the decisive factors in setting up or continuing to run business services in Ireland. I wrote about it here:

    Rent This Space

    Like

  2. James Lawless Avatar

    Congrats on the polblog nomination – you’re in good company!
    Might see you there http://jameslawless.ie/2008/02/29/polbloggers-of-the-world-unite/

    Like

  3. Michael Avatar

    Hugh – thanks for pointing that out to readers. I had read it but didn’t want to get in the details of commercial rent in this post which is why I didn’t link it. But here’s an idea (and if you want to run with it, go ahead): to propose to Irish business – in one of our posts – that we introduce commercial rent controls. In exchange, they’ll have to give something back out of their savings to the workforce/economy (part of Lemass’s Bargain). But do you think they’ll go for it – the introduction of another layer of state bureacracy in order to bring down their rents? I’d say some would and we could both name those who won’t. Divide and conquer.
    Thanks, James, and good to put a face on the blog and blogger.

    Like

  4. Pavement Trauma Avatar
    Pavement Trauma

    You really need to get off this ‘We’re-all-being diddled-by-peculiarly rapacious-Irish-businessmen’ kick, it is getting a bit silly.
    Do you really believe that businesses outside of Ireland patriotically and voluntarily restrict their profit levels in order to keep their country competitive?
    I can think of quite a few reasons for the higher levels of profits in business services here.
    a) the lower corporate tax rates on profits b) we were – at least up until recently – in a booming, expanding economy where profits tend to be greater and (a tad more speculatively) c) the mix of business services here as opposed to the other countries.
    In the period your figures cover, the German rate of tax on corporate profits was 39% – as opposed to 12% here. A German businessman is a lot more incentivised than his Irish counterpart to reduce his declared profits by charging ‘business’ expenses to the company – like the lease on a Mercedes 500SL – as it only costs them 61%.
    It also means that multinationals station their shared services centres here to provide central / corporate services to their subsidiaries in the rest of Europe and – via a bit of transfer pricing jiggery pokery – earn profits in a low corporate tax environment.
    It has also has an effect on the vast majority of companies in the business services sector – the ones that have 1-9 employees. The owner / principal of these can take their compensation as salary and pay both employee and employer PRSI on it or they can pay themselves a more modest salary, earn profits which are lightly taxed and take dividends instead – on which they only pay income tax.
    Also, the business services sector covers a multitude – from cleaners to lawyers. Some sub-sectors are more profitable than others. Different mixes of those sectors will result in different profit levels. For example – proportionally speaking – we have a larger financial services sector than Germany with a resulting higher proportion of higher earning accountants, lawyers, IT consultants etc. that come in its wake.
    This is not to say that certain sub-sectors are not ridiculously over priced – lawyers spring to mind. But that’s what happens when you allow some people to rig the game.

    Like

  5. Michael Avatar

    Thanks for your comments, Pavement Trauma. Let me just clarify a couple of things regarding the EU KLEMS database which I linked.
    First, it is based on gross profits. In other words, it doesn’t measure profit after tax. If that were done the gap between Irish profits and other EU country profit levels would, of course, be bigger. So in relation to the data I presented, the references to tax levels – in Gemany or here or anywhere else the KLEMS database covers – are not relevant.
    Further, these are business services – not financial services (which are primarily multi-national based and, therefore, susceptible to transfer-pricing manipulaitons). So the references to ‘financial services’ is not relevant here (just to let you know – profits in the financial services here in Ireland are ahead of EU profit levels by a major extent).
    I take your point about the small enterprise owner taking their income through profits. I’m not familiar with tax law in other countries but we might see a similar effect – which would effictively cancel each other out. But even if that weren’t the case – the small enterprise owner doesn’t play much a role in this sector. Enterprises with a turnover of over €1 million a year – and they average 38 employees per enterprise – make up 80% of the turnover and 72% of employment. So the effect you mention would be marginal.
    There is no doubt we need more statistical information on these and other sectors to find out what’s going on. However, it would appear based on the information at hand, that something very strange is going. Irish business does not act the same way as it does in other countries. It’s not about tax, or the financial sector, or the income strategies of small enterprise – which I have pointed out. And it’s not about patriotism. What is it? It is not ‘silly’ to ask these pertinent questions. It would be ‘silly’ not to.

    Like

  6. Pavement Trauma Avatar
    Pavement Trauma

    Tax rates certainly are relevan because they influence how people people behave – if profits are more heavily taxed in Germany, then businesses there will try harder than those here to minimise their taxable profits. Hence the Merc 500SL.
    The reference to the financial sector was a reference to the types of businesses that serve that sector – high earning business services like IT, accounting, legal advice. Their profits per employee are higher than for, say, cleaning companies. Proportionally we have more of them, hence the overall profit per employee figure is pushed up.
    There are numerous corporate shared services centres here that provide inhouse business services to their international subsidiaries – and make lower taxed profits doing so, again contributing to higher profits per employee.
    Lastly higher profits per employee is a good thing. It allows higher levels of employment, higher salary levels and higher levels of investment. If you think those profit levels are somehow ‘excessive’ then start an enterprise is that sector – like the 8,000 people who have done so.

    Like

  7. N Avatar

    Just to perhaps put the above discussions into a wider perspective, taxes are not higher in Germany in Ireland, if one specifically exclude Social Insurance Contributions. As these are mainly pension contributions, Irish taxes are higher and of course we have by far and away the poorest pensioners as private sector pensions do not work. Secondly the main reasons why profits are considerably below the Irish level are prices – a lot lower than Ireland and secondly reinvestment. Private sector R & D expenditure is high in Germany, though the other German speaking country Austria, has even higher levels. R & D expenditure in Ireland outside of the multi national & state funded university sectors is nearly non existent.
    The entrenched tenant rights of most continental countries make property speculation an odd pursuit pursued by the Anglo Saxon english speakers. Those Irish people who have speculated throughout Europe are in the process of learning a very hard lesson at home and abroad.
    Finally can I refer to the QNHS survey? It shows Ireland with foreigners making up nearly 16% of those working. Take away them and you have an Irish participation rate in the low 50s, There is something very wrong with the Irish economy and the hiding of 000s thousands of people of working age.
    Can I suggest that if you are looking for comparisons for Ireland that you look at much smaller economies, say Denmark & Finland. Both are high tax and very efficient open economies.

    Like

  8. Pavement Trauma Avatar
    Pavement Trauma

    “Publishing of software” activities are included under the Business Services sector. That’s the reason for any profit per employee disparity – the profits of Microsoft Ireland, Oracle Ireland et al are included in the figures Michael is using. For example Oracle Irish operations earned profits of €486M last year.
    That is why all this businesses = cannibals nonsense is just plain silly.

    Like

  9. N Avatar

    Pavement Trauma the problem is that the klems index shows that all sectors of the Irish economy are making super normal profits. A trip to your local shop should raise very serious questions for you. For example, two litres of milk is selling at nearly 5 times the price the farmer is getting for it. Irish retailing is dominated by a very small number of players and very few people are in a position to visit five or more shops to compare prices.
    Even taking out the sub group of computer software from business services, the figures stand out. Also Microsoft & Oracle pay much higher salaries, Microsoft’s average in 2006 was approx. €100,000 per employee, pushing up employee average earnings also.
    There is however a much wider issue – why is the native private sector, other than the subsidised food sector, dependent on public sector contracts? Despite local tax rates, grants etc. there are no Irish world class manufacturing companies. Compare this to Denmark or Finland……….

    Like

  10. Pavement Trauma Avatar
    Pavement Trauma

    I would agree with you that supermarkets in Ireland probably are gouging us (although this is not unique to Ireland – the same concerns arise in the UK and in France, where incidentally a litre of fresh milk in a Carrefour is €1.39). You correctly identify that Irish retailing is dominated by a small number players. It is disgraceful that there is no transparency into the supermarkets’ accounts as they are private companies or subsidiaries.
    The point is the article sought to establish – on the basis of comparing profit per employee figures with other countries – that the same sort of price gouging occurs in the Business Services sector. The gist of it was ‘If only Irish businesses in the sector took the same level of profits as their German counterparts, prices in it would fall 8.3%’. No such conclusions can be drawn from the figures because they are completely distorted by the presence of multinational software companies like Microsoft and Oracle. Oracle’s profits have been roughly 10% of the overall sector’s for the past few years.
    It is irrelevant what MS and Oracle pay their people, we’re comparing profits.
    I’ll make the point again: we tax corporate profits very lightly. Hence, if they can, companies structure operations so as to declare more profits here. Hence comparing profits made by companies here (without stripping out these effects) with those abroad is pointless. Any conclusions based on such comparisons are, at best, deeply flawed.

    Like

  11. Michael Avatar

    Pavement Trauma – the analysis is not flawed if you’re careful to examine sectors that don’t have high penetration of MNCs. For instance, you mention Oracle in the software category of business services. I accept that – that is a category that is highly susceptible to profit manipulation. However, in the legal/accounting/marketing sector which the CSO shows is mostly indigenous we still find profits per employee increasing more than 100%. In fact that sector experienced a higher growth in profits per employee than the computer sub-sector.
    So it’s not so silly or deeply flawed.

    Like

  12. Pavement Trauma Avatar
    Pavement Trauma

    Your article drew its conclusions based on a comparison with German firms – that was flawed. Now you draw the same conclusions based on growth rates over some unspecified period, with no international comparison.
    Would it be unfair to speculate you started with a premise and then strove to find some data to back it up?

    Like

  13. buying ugg boots in australia Avatar

    Low-cost Imitation [url=http://www.buyuggsnowboot.com/%5Dkids ugg boots best price[/url]
    Are Horrible For the personal Health
    No, I am not kidding. When you decide on not to invest funds real UGG boots, you receive the chance of causing significant, substantial expression damage on your feet and back again.
    Head inside the British College of Osteopathic Medicine, Dr Ian Drysdale, mentioned, ??Because these boots are warm and fragile, young girls presume they are giving their ft a break. As being a make any difference of truth, they are actually breaking their feet.
    ??Their ft are slipping all over inside. With every single motion, the power falls toward the within with the foot and the ft splay. This flattens the arch and may perhaps make it drop.
    The result will probably be considerable trouble collectively with the foot, the ankle, and in the end, the hip.?¡¥

    Like

  14. additeLierb Avatar

    Cheap Imitation UGG Boots Are Terrible To your personal Health
    No, I’m not kidding. As soon as you [url=http://www.ugg-tall-boots.com/%5Dugg boots joplin mo[/url]
    make a decision on not to spend dollars real UGG boots, you receive the chance of triggering significant, extensive expression harm in your feet and back again.
    Head inside the British School of Osteopathic Medicine, Dr Ian Drysdale, mentioned, ??Because these boots are warm and fragile, youthful ladies presume they are giving their ft a break. As being a make a difference of reality, they are literally breaking their ft.
    ??Their ft are slipping all over inside. With every action, the power falls toward the inside using the foot and the feet splay. This flattens the arch and may perhaps allow it to be drop.
    The result will probably be significant trouble with each other with the foot, the ankle, and eventually, the hip.?¡¥
    How to Notify If Uggs Are Pretend ¡§C Some Ideas
    1. The sheep fur lining around the inside of of actual UGG boots is produced of grade A sheepskin and it is of the beige shade. The lining of pretend Uggs is synthetic, relatively prickly to touch and it is also a added white shade.
    2. You might notice the paint-like smell of producer new faux Uggs, that?¡¥s a outcome of your dyes produced utilization of to shade the synthetic items. Brand new authentic UGG boots are pretty an excellent offer odorless.
    three. Authentic UGG boots may well not be lower priced at about $150 a pair. A completely new [url=http://www.snowuggssale.com/%5Dugg boots with fur on outside[/url]
    considerably considerably much less will just about certainly be faux.
    4. UGG Australia prohibit their authorized dealers from providing UGG boots on eBay along with other on-line auctions. So, if it is often on eBay, and claims to become fresh then you?¡¥ll discover it received to obtain fake.
    5. The stitching on actual Uggs is constantly pretty noticeably appropriate. The label around the heel is certainly dead centre and degree. Pretend Uggs will not usually stick to their instance.
    6. Eventually, it is possible to discover that the soles of faux Uggs are rigid in comparison to actual Uggs. Also the soles of genuine Uggs are about 1/2 inch deep as compared to 1/4 inch for fakes.
    I take into consideration it’s going to be a sensible choose for you personally to follow my aid and tips about how 1 can inform if Uggs are pretend.

    Like

  15. additeLierb Avatar

    Outdoor gear and attire big The North Face Inc. is assisting buyers gear up for your vacation time via focused shoppable cellular advertisements.
    The company is operating the mobile ads inside Pandora. By way of the cell advertisements, customers can find the nearest shop location or store by way of their cell gadget.
    The ability for any merchants [url=http://www.thenorth-face-shop.com/%5Dnorthface%5B/url%5D
    clients to become able to store via the cellular for an instant buy is becoming extra and extra crucial these days, said Marci Troutman, CEO of Siteminis, Atlanta.
    Shoppers are checking their e-mail through mobile, making sure which the e-mail ad lands them on a mobile friendly-site for an instant ROI shows the ability to hyperlink the e-mail campaign into a print advert, to a social media piece, to signage and delivers the complete marketing campaign complete circle with a provable acquire brought on by the chain response, she said.
    Marci Troutman is just not affiliated using the North Face. She commented based on her experience on the topic.
    The North Encounter, a division of VF Outdoor Inc., is definitely an outdoor item corporation specializing in outerwear, fleece, footwear and gear just like backpacks, tents and sleeping bags.
    The clothing and equipment lines are catered in the direction of the wilderness chic, climbers, mountaineers, skiers, snowboarders, hikers and endurance athletes.
    The business did not reply to media inquiries soon enough for publication.
    When customers tap on the cellular advertisement they’re redirected to some mobile-optimized page exactly where they are able to possibly discover the closest shop, look at their account or store for winter season gear.
    Shoppers can also make use of the lookup functionality on the top from the screen if they are searching for a particular merchandise.

    Like

Leave a reply to Pavement Trauma Cancel reply

Navigation

About

Commentary on Irish Political Economy by Michael Taft, researcher for SIPTU